What is the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for Paid Newsletters?

NSussman Techcrunch Exchange v3 ORNG

This article discusses the current state of Substack, a media and software platform that allows writers to publish and monetize their work. Here are some key points from the article:

Valuation: The company is reportedly valued at up to $1 billion, which would put its valuation at 100x current revenues.

Growth: Substack has grown rapidly, with estimated GMV of around $90 million in 2021 and likely over $100 million now. Its revenue run rate is over $10 million.

Spending: The company has spent heavily to accelerate its growth, raising concerns about whether it’s spending too much money to grow its market share.

Backers: a16z, which led Substack’s Series A and B funding rounds, hasn’t been as supportive of the company recently. Some speculate that this is because a16z overvalued Substack last year or has shifted focus to web3 investments.

Market Analysis: The article suggests that the media industry is undergoing significant changes, with venture capital firms taking a closer look at companies that are disrupting traditional media business models.

Some possible questions that can be derived from this article include:

  1. How sustainable is Substack’s growth rate?
  2. Is a16z’s lack of support for Substack due to overvaluation or a shift in investment focus?
  3. What implications do these developments have for the broader media and software industries?

Let me know if you would like me to expand on any of these questions!