Bitcoin Payments Hit Yearly Low Due to Holiday Illiquidity

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Daily Bitcoin Payments Plummet to Yearly Low Amidst Holiday Illiquidity

The holiday season is known for being a period of illiquidity in the cryptocurrency market, and this year’s numbers are no exception. Daily Bitcoin payments have sunk to their lowest point of the year, demonstrating the characteristic scarcity that comes with the post-holiday period.

According to data from blockchain.com, confirmed Bitcoin (BTC) payments dropped to 623,434 on December 26th, marking a significant low point for the year. This decline is in line with expectations, as the holiday season typically sees reduced investor activity and lower trading volumes.

Confirmed Bitcoin Payments: A Gauge of Investor Activity

Confirmed Bitcoin payments are transactions that have been accepted and included in a block by the blockchain network’s consensus mechanism, making them irreversible. Metrics like the number of confirmed payments can provide valuable insights into investor activity on the Bitcoin network.

On December 17th, the Bitcoin price crossed the $108,000 all-time high, securing over 857,000 confirmed payments. This represents a significant increase from yesterday’s numbers, with a 37% rise in confirmed payments.

Bitcoin Price and Confirmed Payments: A Yearly Chart

The following chart illustrates the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and confirmed payments over the past year.

Confirmed Bitcoin payments per day. 1–year chart.

Weak Social Sentiment Points to Imminent Price Recovery

Despite the current downtrend, weak social sentiment around Bitcoin suggests an imminent price recovery. According to Cointelegraph’s report on December 22nd, social sentiment around Bitcoin fell to its lowest level of 2024, with a ratio of four positive comments for every five negative ones.

However, this low retail investor sentiment could be a sign of a forthcoming Bitcoin breakout, according to market intelligence platform Santiment. In a December 22nd X post, they wrote:

‘Vocal traders are now showing severe FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt), and that’s good news for contrarians who know markets move in the opposite direction of retail’s expectations.’

BTC Social Media Sentiment: A Chart

The following chart illustrates the sentiment around Bitcoin on social media.

BTC social media sentiment, comment ratio.

Experts Expect End to Correction Under $100,000

Other crypto analysts are also predicting an end to Bitcoin’s correction under $100,000. On December 20th, Bitcoin’s daily chart produced three consecutive red candles for the first time since the first week of November.

According to Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, this downtrend is an organic symptom of the holiday illiquidity:

‘Post-Christmas, market activity typically picks up again, with funds expected to actively position for sectors that might benefit from Trump’s upcoming inauguration… The expected trading range for BTC this week is $94,000 – $105,000.’

President-elect Donald Trump’s Inauguration: A Potential Catalyst

President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20th could be the next significant Bitcoin catalyst. As we previously explored in "Bitcoin in US Reserves: Could It Drive Prices to $500K?", the potential for increased institutional investment and trading activity surrounding this event could have a positive impact on the cryptocurrency market.

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